Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.060697 0.068758 0.077008 0.086055 0.095665 0.105541 0.116430
2025-08-17 0.047491 0.059303 0.072008 0.086546 0.102588 0.119631 0.138990
2025-08-24 0.036946 0.050552 0.065851 0.083998 0.104638 0.127122 0.153220
2025-08-31 0.029331 0.043885 0.060950 0.081846 0.106227 0.133331 0.165329
2025-09-07 0.024977 0.040445 0.059244 0.082866 0.110978 0.142713 0.180645
2025-09-14 0.021789 0.038018 0.058397 0.084587 0.116281 0.152514 0.196259
2025-09-21 0.019893 0.037012 0.059107 0.088021 0.123473 0.164394 0.214173
2025-09-28 0.017355 0.034820 0.058076 0.089121 0.127723 0.172734 0.227919
2025-10-05 0.017434 0.036303 0.061811 0.096181 0.139193 0.189577 0.251566
2025-10-12 0.014702 0.033367 0.059473 0.095372 0.140921 0.194799 0.261576
2025-10-19 0.013131 0.032003 0.059129 0.097020 0.145601 0.203479 0.275602
2025-10-26 0.011237 0.029895 0.057596 0.096997 0.148104 0.209481 0.286415
2025-11-02 0.009838 0.028536 0.057169 0.098576 0.152851 0.218492 0.301198
2025-11-09 0.008319 0.026769 0.056053 0.099186 0.156370 0.226053 0.314333
2025-11-16 0.006261 0.023614 0.052622 0.096447 0.155440 0.228045 0.320684
2025-11-23 0.004634 0.020902 0.049625 0.094123 0.154909 0.230423 0.327414
2025-11-30 0.003855 0.019826 0.049108 0.095225 0.158814 0.238276 0.340758
2025-12-07 0.003295 0.019133 0.049149 0.097084 0.163694 0.247336 0.355570
2025-12-14 0.003062 0.019218 0.050468 0.100790 0.171038 0.259496 0.374188
2025-12-21 0.002520 0.018338 0.050090 0.101976 0.174986 0.267372 0.387558
2025-12-28 0.002831 0.019949 0.054040 0.109578 0.187596 0.286220 0.414433
2026-01-04 0.002106 0.018334 0.052304 0.108707 0.188750 0.290558 0.423469
2026-01-11 0.001764 0.017768 0.052363 0.110480 0.193463 0.299399 0.438046